The crude oil markets remained range bound
22 January 2021
Trading on near curve contracts remained volatileWith temperatures dropping as the weekend approaches the spot and day ahead products firmed by around a penny yesterday while NBP futures settled mixed. UK gas demand is forecast to rise on Friday, as wind generation eases gas fired generators will be called on to shoulder the demand from the power stack. Gas demand was 305MCM on Thursday and supplies were around 7MCM short late in the afternoon with LNG flows at 27MCM, this is less than 20% of the levels seen this time last year. Trading on near curve contracts remained volatile with February peaking at 58.51p and settling just over a penny above the intra-day low at 56.57p.
Wind generation is forecast to fall from yesterday’s levels of 11.6GW to just 3.0GW by Monday, while temperatures are to drop further to put extra pressure on the power grid. Reports of an unplanned outage at a generator in Heysham also added to the upside yesterday as the day ahead baseload product closed £4.15/MWh up at £63.90/MWh. Carbon EUAs settled higher on Thursday with the spot adding €1.20 to close at €34.02 per tonne. Trading for baseload futures closed mixed yesterday with near months showing average gains of £0.40/MWh while contracts from the summer out were either slightly higher or flat.
Carbon EUAs settled higher on Thursday
The crude oil markets remained range bound on Thursday with Brent closing just 2 cents a barrel higher while West Texas Intermediate eased by 18 cents a barrel. With yesterday being the first full day with the new U.S. President in charge, the markets were watchful as Joe Biden signed in a number of orders which could cause concern for U.S. demand. Increases in the number of new Covid-19 cases along with reports of more or extended lockdowns have also dented global demand and continues to be a concern for the market. The weekly inventory report on U.S. oil data should be of interest to the market when released today, recent reports have shown U.S. crude reserves falling but distillate stocks have grown.
West Texas Intermediate eased by 18 cents a barrel